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MANIFOLD
Will Germany recognize Palestine within 2 years of Ireland, Norway and Spain?
47
Ṁ1kṀ18k
resolved May 30
Resolved
NO

Today, May 28, 2024, Ireland, Norway, and Spain officially recognized the State of Palestine.

Will Germany do the same within two years?

Resolution Criteria

1. Definition: Official recognition involves the German government's formal declaration or diplomatic note acknowledging Palestine as a sovereign state.

2. Source: Confirmation through credible sources such as official German government statements, major news outlets, or international diplomatic records.

3. Timing: Recognition must occur before May 29, 2026, German time.

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This seems too low now that France and UK has motioned to recognize.

opened a Ṁ300 NO at 7% order

@GazDownright A few limit orders are up

bought Ṁ250 NO

As a German I can ensure you that this probability is 0. It stays this way when changing the resolution time to the end of the century.

@Gideon37 Too bad you can't bet it down to 1% and redeem the loans. And I mean that sincerely; if you think it's much lower, too bad there aren't incentives for you to lock more mana up.

filled a Ṁ250 YES at 17% order

@Gideon37 Chance for you to bet it down further