29
144
αΉ€1k
2105
75%
chance

Will resolve as soon as a war involving direct engagement of over 3 continents is considered to be WW3 by the mainstream western media. May resolve yes after 2100 if a war started before (end of) 2100 is called a world war afterwards.

same question but 2045: https://manifold.markets/GastonKessler/will-there-be-ww3-before-2045?r=R2FzdG9uS2Vzc2xlcg

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