33
245
1k
2040
24%
chance

Will resolve as soon as a war involving direct engagement of over 3 continents is considered to be WW3 by the mainstream western media. May resolve yes after 2035 if a war started before (end of) 2035 is called a world war afterwards.

same question but 2045: https://manifold.markets/GastonKessler/will-there-be-ww3-before-2045?r=R2FzdG9uS2Vzc2xlcg

Get Ṁ600 play money
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bought Ṁ200 NO

Nothing ever happens

bought Ṁ10 NO

@benjaminIkuta When in doubt consult the chart

@benjaminIkuta https://manifold.markets/Gigacasting/ww3-by-2030?r=R2FzdG9uS2Vzc2xlcg I hedged my Yes position on this question with a No position on the question I linked so I profit whatever happens

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