Resolution criteria:

This market will resolve based on the official announcement of the new leader of the Australian Greens if Adam Bandt loses his seat in the House of Representatives and forces a change in party leadership. If Bandt retains his seat, the market will resolve as "Adam Bandt (Still)." If he loses his seat and a new leader is appointed, the market will resolve to the name of the appointed leader. If Bandt loses his seat and maintains leadership market will resolve as “Adam Bandt (still).”

Background:

Adam Bandt has been the leader of the Australian Greens since 2020. The potential successors listed are prominent members of the party:

• Elizabeth Watson-Brown: Elected to the House of Representatives in 2022, representing the Division of Ryan in Queensland.

• Mehreen Faruqi: Serving as a Senator for New South Wales since 2018 and the party's deputy leader since 2022.

• Larissa Waters: A Senator for Queensland, first elected in 2011, and has served as co-deputy leader.

• Sarah Hanson-Young: Serving as a Senator for South Australia since 2008, known for her work on environmental and human rights issues.

• Nick McKim: A Senator for Tasmania since 2015, previously served as the leader of the Tasmanian Greens.

• Other: Any other candidate not directly mentioned. If new options are added market will adjust accordingly.