resolves yes if the party polls at 15.00% or more 3 or more polls. (after market creation)

all 3 appearances cant be the same company though. Must be at least 2 different polling companies reporting it.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2026_New_Zealand_general_election#Table_of_polls

Polls accepted:

RNZ-Reid Research

taxpayer union-curia

roy morgan

the post/freshwater strategy

1news-verian

Talbot Mills

More polls may be accepted, if they are added to wikipedia and arent a result of vandalism.

Win Prizes by trading on this market: https://manifold.markets/post/prize-pool-of-5500-mana-for-the-202