April 2024
What will be the most dramatic event on Manifold of April 2024?
Resolves to the results of a poll held starting after the month ends. A tie will resolve equally to all the tied answers.
Anyone can add more answers. Any answers that are clearly trolling will not be polled. Overlapping answers are allowed if they are significantly different.
Last month's market: https://manifold.markets/Gabrielle/what-will-be-the-most-dramatic-even-465e4ac11043
Last month's poll: https://manifold.markets/Gabrielle/what-was-the-most-dramatic-event-on-0d2c4b927963
1,000
3.00🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ234 | |
| 2 | Ṁ109 | |
| 3 | Ṁ99 | |
| 4 | Ṁ78 | |
| 5 | Ṁ74 |
And here's the market for next month: https://manifold.markets/Gabrielle/what-will-be-the-most-dramatic-even-8a0545e32889
I think this is unambiguous, but I posted a poll anyway: https://manifold.markets/Gabrielle/what-was-the-most-dramatic-event-on-ed031096ac1f
(This one. The announcement itself. I think it has been pretty dramatic.)
@Gabrielle does https://manifoldmarkets.notion.site/Announcement-A-sustainable-mana-economy-08b86e8937554cc7a4608371f66ecb10 count as part of The Big Pivot for purposes of this market?
@strutheo do you know something? This is a great guess for the staff drama, fits everything i remember hearing