What will be the most dramatic event on Manifold of March 2024?
27
204
995
resolved Apr 5
100%83%
Nothing particularly dramatic
0.1%
League Season 11
0.1%
Super Tuesday
0.1%
Oscars
0.1%
Numeric markets
0.2%
State of the Union
0.1%
creators lose 25-50% their earnings
1.0%
continued agency stuff
0.9%
Ethics of auto-generated AI banner images for each market
1.1%
Strutheo implodes and exits with a huge bang
2%
Strutheo's kate middleton market getting unlisted
3%
Ammon winning his 35k bet on Illinois (March Madness)
8%Other

March 2024

What will be the most dramatic event on Manifold of the March 2024?

Resolves to the results of a poll held starting after the month ends. A tie will resolve equally to all the tied answers.

Anyone can add more answers. Any answers that are clearly trolling will not be polled. Overlapping answers are allowed if they are significantly different.

Last week's market: https://manifold.markets/Gabrielle/what-will-be-the-most-dramatic-even-1d0a10bbe846

Last week's poll: https://manifold.markets/Gabrielle/what-was-the-most-dramatic-event-on-66d9e014716f

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continued agency stuff

Who is the agency plz?

@SusanneinFrance A guy bought a lot of mana and misappropriated some other mana and made a lot of markets pretty crazy for a while. We're not supposed to engage though to avoid calling him back because he is supposed to be banned.

State of the Union

Fabulous Discord chat tracking all the sotu phrasing and activities!

Ethics of auto-generated AI banner images for each market

Tell me more about the ethics plz!

@SusanneinFrance Some users were upset that the site was wasting energy generating these images and also some other reasons. Someone pointed out Gabrielle had paid for a carbon offset for all the AI images ever generated on the site and how to use a browser setting to hide these images.

Strutheo implodes and exits with a huge bang

Note this did not happen (yet), but just in case it does....

creators lose 25-50% their earnings

lol