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MANIFOLD
How many government employees will Trump and Elon cut in 2025? [Kalshi Numeric]
2
αΉ€1kαΉ€1.1k
resolved Mar 5
Resolved
N/A
15%
0 - 50,000
15%
50,001 - 100,000
15%
100,001 - 250,000
31%
250,001 - 500,000
15%
500,001 - 1,000,000
9%
1,000,001+

Resolves identically to https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfedemployees/federal-government-employee-count, except that this market has buckets instead of greater-than ranges. Also compares the greatest number cut during the year, to approximate the same mechanism as Kalshi.

Compares the count of federal employees no longer working, relative to the January 2025 employee count. Outcome verified from FRED.

Market context
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