GPT 5 Exceeds Expectations
68
1kṀ7018Jul 2
31%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I will run a Manifold poll 1 month after the official GPT-5 release asking whether or not it exceeded expectations. Resolves to results of that poll.
Update 2025-22-01 (PST): - The market closure date has been extended to July 1, 2025 following updates on the GPT-5 release schedule. (AI summary of creator comment)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
When will GPT5 be announced?
GPT-5 Score on BrowseComp?
49.4
What will be true about GPT-5?
Will I be impressed by GPT-5?
70% chance
GPT-5 capabilities at launch - make your predictions
GPT-5 score on GPQA Diamond?
87.3
What score will GPT-5 achieve on GPQA?
Will there be a GPT 5.5?
31% chance
GPT-5 trained with >=24k GPUs?
82% chance
GPT-5: 120+ on AMC
66% chance