Will there be a significant retraction to the AARO 2024 UAP report before 2030?
4
15
140
2030
27%
chance

The AARO report, which concluded no verifiable evidence of extraterrestrial activity in UAP sightings, has been met with skepticism from some quarters, including claims of oversight and the exclusion of critical data. Participants should consider the possibility of emerging evidence, public pressure, and governmental or scientific scrutiny that might influence the AARO to revisit and potentially alter its conclusions. This market provides an avenue to predict the evolving narrative surrounding UAP investigations and the transparency of government disclosures on such phenomena.

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