Will OpenAI suggest GPT-4 is AGI?
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2025
4%
chance

Context

https://twitter.com/MikePFrank/status/1595370237901393921?t=MuS79wbUABHVUGq_O3kddA&s=19

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bought Ṁ50 of NO

Saltman talks about "Is GPT 4 AGI" at 59:!0 (https://youtu.be/L_Guz73e6fw?t=3550) and then asks Lex " do you think GPT4 is AGI" -> lex replies NO, but hints at potential, and then Sam replies

"I think GPT-4 is although quite impressive, it is definitely NOT AGI, but what is remarkable is that we're even having this debate"

bought Ṁ100 of NO

@firstuserhere The reply from Sam was at https://youtu.be/L_Guz73e6fw?t=3743 1:02:20

@firstuserhere One counterargument might be the "Sparks of AGI" paper, but those were Microsoft employees not OpenAI.

From the developer livestream

I wonder why of the sudden popularity of this market today

bought Ṁ100 of NO

On Twitter, Greg Brockman says "No" in response to "Do you think GPT 4 is going to be AGI": https://twitter.com/gdb/status/1602074382616117250

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