This market investigates the likelihood of Brazil arresting Russian President Vladimir Putin if he attends the G20 summit in November 2024.

Ukraine has urged Brazilian authorities to act on an ICC arrest warrant related to war crimes, emphasizing the importance of accountability.

Resolution Criteria: The market will resolve positively if Putin is arrested during the G20 summit; otherwise, it will resolve negatively. If he does not attend, the market will also resolve negatively.

Citations:

[1] Question of Putin's visit to G20 summit in Brazil not discussed yet - TASS https://tass.com/politics/1767509

[2] Ukraine Urges Brazil to Arrest Putin if He Attends G20 Summit https://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2024-10-14/ukraine-urges-brazil-to-arrest-putin-if-he-attends-g20-summit

[3] President Lula receives Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov https://www.gov.br/planalto/en/latest-news/2024/02/president-lula-receives-russian-foreign-minister-sergey-lavrov