If Jair Bolsonaro is condemned to prison, what set of charges will this be based on?

100Ṁ807

resolved Dec 9

100%98.6%

Involvement with an attempted coup d'état after he lost the 2022 Elections and/or the 1/8/23 events

0.2%

Selling jewelry and other luxury gifts given to the Presidency under his term for his personal benefit

0.2%

Defrauding official COVID-19 vaccination records for him and his family members to travel to the USA

0.2%

Something pandemic-related (dissemination of fake news, encouraging people not to take protective measures, the Covaxin scandal etc)

0.2%

Interfering with the Federal Police for personal purposes

0.2%

Leaking information related to ongoing investigations of hacker attacks on the Electoral Justice

0.2%

Something related to an involvement with the paramilitary groups in Rio de Janeiro

0.2%

Something related to ghost employees or salary kickback schemes in his or his family's parliamentary cabinets

0.1%

Whale harassment

0.2%Other

I will resolve to the first indictment that reaches a final judgment and includes a penalty of at least one day of closed or semi-open prison regime.
I'll not consider short-term ("preventative"/"temporary") arrests.
The actual prison mandate does not have to be fulfilled. E.g., I will resolve it to whatever generated the penalty even if he escapes the country, a popular uprising occurs, etc.
If no definitive prison penalty is declared by the closing date, I'll resolve the market as N/A.

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