On December 2022, Argentina’s Vice-President and former president, Cristina Fernández de Kirchner, was sentenced to six years in prison and given a lifelong ban on holding public office after being found guilty in a $1bn fraud case related to public works (Source). However, analysts quoted by the press say it is unlikely she will go to jail any time soon, as she enjoys immunity as VP and head of the Senate (Source).

This market resolves as YES if Kirchner spends at least 2 hours in jail until the end of 2025. It resolves as NO otherwise.