When will Bryan Johnson die?
8
1.1kṀ7004
2026
4%
Before 2026
6%
Before 2030
54%
Before 2040
50%
Before 2050
50%
Before 2060
53%
Before 2070
63%
Before 2080
55%
Before 2090
55%
Before 2100
62%
Before 2200
62%
Before 2300

Background

Bryan Johnson, age 47 (as of 2024), is a tech entrepreneur known for his extreme anti-aging efforts through his Blueprint Protocol. He reportedly spends millions annually on a rigorous regimen of over 100 daily supplements, specialized diet, and extensive medical monitoring aimed at reducing his biological age. Johnson claims his biological measurements show the body of a 37-year-old.

Resolution Criteria

Market will resolve YES for the earliest applicable timeframe in which Bryan Johnson dies. For example, if Johnson dies in 2027, "Before 2030" would resolve YES while "Before 2026" would resolve NO. All later timeframes would also resolve YES.

Death must be officially confirmed through multiple reliable news sources, medical records, or legal documentation. Clinical death (irreversible cessation of all brain function) will be considered the point of death.

Considerations

  • Johnson's anti-aging protocol is experimental and unprecedented, making its long-term effectiveness unknown

  • The protocol includes potential risks from experimental treatments and supplements

  • Technological advances in longevity science could significantly impact life expectancy

  • Johnson has significant resources to pursue emerging life extension technologies

  • Accidents, diseases, or other unpredictable events could affect lifespan regardless of anti-aging efforts

  • No human has ever lived beyond 122 years (current verified record)

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How does this resolve in the case that Johnson is cryonically preserved?

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