In what year will the construction of the first space elevator begin? | Manifold

In what year will the construction of the first space elevator begin?

#Space #Futurism

14

51

Ṁ752

Ṁ490

2999

2065

expected

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1M

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bought Ṁ50 of HIGHER

Already wrote this comment on another post, but by the time we have the technology to build a space elevator for earth, we probably don't need one. Lots of options exist that are both easier to build and get you the equivalent outcomes (or better), like

Rotovators / skyhooks
Lofstrom Loops
Mass Drivers
Tethered Rings
Elliptical Orbital Ring Networks
Some scaled up version of spinlaunch

Barring some perfect space elevator material being invented tomorrow, I don't foresee a future where its a competitive option.

sold Ṁ17 of HIGHER

There is very little incentive to bet for such tiny amounts of mana.

predicts HIGHER

@IsaacKing yeah numeric markets suck.

predicts HIGHER

@FranklinBaldo The problem isn't numeric markets, the problem is that you made the top end of the range the year 3000, despite everyone wanting to bet on numbers less than 2100.

bought Ṁ40 of HIGHER

@IsaacKing here https://manifold.markets/FranklinBaldo/in-what-year-will-the-construction?referrer=FranklinBaldo

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When will Starship reach orbit?

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Will working be necessary in 2070?

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Related questions

When will the construction of the first space elevator begin?

Will a space hotel be operational before 2035?

In the year 2100, will construction have begun on a lunar space elevator?

When will human-scale centrifugal artificial gravity be first tested in space?

In what year will the construction of the first space elevator begin?

Will we have a terrestrial space elevator by 2150?

In which year will humans next walk on the moon?

On what date will the first crewed Boeing Starliner lift off happen?

When will we first use something produced from resources gathered in space?

In what year will the next human walk on the moon?