In the year 2100, will construction have begun on a lunar space elevator?
Basic
19
326
2100
36%
chance

According to Isaac Arthur and the like, this is accomplishable with today's technology (given global cooperation, significant fraction of GDP). There are only a few stable points you can go to in cislunar space, the main ones being the Earth-Moon L1 and L2 points.

To resolve YES, construction must have started by Jan 1, 2100 UTC. It does not need to be a single tether to the counterweight station, in fact multiple tethers might even provide for better usability and stability.

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predicts NO