MANIFOLD
If India will seem set to take over the world leadership, while being a peaceful democracy, will the US try to stop them?
4
Ṁ90Ṁ98
2100
79%
chance

Resolves to N/A if

  • China or any other country/alliance takes the world leadership from the US first, or the world splinters to the point where "world leadership" loses meaning

  • India becomes an "Authoritarian regime" before then according to Democracy Index, or launches what is widely considered an unjustified war of aggression

Resolves to YES if the US despite little evidence of a need to defend "peace and democracy" still organizes alliances and trade restrictions aimed at "containing" India's rise.

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