Will an isotope of an element with atomic number > 113 be observed to have a half life >= 1 minute ? (By EoY 2050)
14
1kṀ2252051
49%
chance
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1W
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(Longer-term duplicate of https://manifold.markets/Forrest/will-an-isotope-of-an-element-with)
I sometimes hear speculation about an island of stability, but don't have a good sense of how likely the experts actually consider it to be.
Resolves YES if an observation of such an isotope is published by market close, otherwise NO.
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