Will an isotope of an element with atomic number > 113 be observed to have a half life >= 1 minute ? (By EoY 2050)

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(Longer-term duplicate of https://manifold.markets/Forrest/will-an-isotope-of-an-element-with)

I sometimes hear speculation about an island of stability, but don't have a good sense of how likely the experts actually consider it to be.

Resolves YES if an observation of such an isotope is published by market close, otherwise NO.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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