By what year will a car have driven between New York and San Francisco without anyone in the drivers seat?
20
1kṀ34562029
80%
2029
55%
2028
48%
2027
25%
2026
9%
2025
Inspired by https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/which-car-company-will-drive-betwee
Either direction. One journey. Can have stops but no human in the drivers seat or taking control via internet.
Edit: to clarify, if it's necessary for there to be a human in position to immediately take control and drive the car, that won't count as a YES resolution regardless of where they are physically sitting.
The year when this first occurs and all years after it (that have been added as answers on this market) will resolve YES.
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@CraigDemel no human in the drivers seat. Which I think would be preeeeetty sketchy with current FSD
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