By what year will a car have driven between New York and San Francisco without anyone in the drivers seat?
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Plus
17
Ṁ2400
2029
80%
2029
73%
2028
65%
2027
39%
2026
13%
2025
4%
2024

Inspired by https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/which-car-company-will-drive-betwee

Either direction. One journey. Can have stops but no human in the drivers seat or taking control via internet.

The year when this first occurs and all years after it (that have been added as answers on this market) will resolve YES.

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bought Ṁ10 2025 YES

Can we clarify that a human monitoring and ready to override the AI from the passenger seat would not count?

If I owned a Tesla I'd place a big bet and just do it.

@CraigDemel no human in the drivers seat. Which I think would be preeeeetty sketchy with current FSD

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