By what year will a majority of cars on US roads lack human drivers | Manifold

By what year will a majority of cars on US roads lack human drivers

11

1kṀ1404

2070

2049.8

expected

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

4%

Before 2030

15%

2030 - 2039

37%

2040 - 2049

19%

2050 - 2059

17%

2060 - 2070

7%

After 2070

Update 2025-10-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution will be determined by count of cars (not by miles traveled), ideally using car registration data or similar measures.

Update 2025-10-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Parked cars on streets/roads: Count toward resolution if they are registered as active

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Do parked cars count if they're on a street or road?

@Jwags if they’re registered as active

bought Ṁ100 YES

by majority of miles traveled?

@JoshYou while that would be a reasonable measure, my aim is to do this by count of cars. Ideally by car registration or some similar measure if I can find it.

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