What will the value of the Trump Chaos Index be at year-end?
Basic
1
แน52Jan 1
9%
<30
12%
30-34.99
23%
35-39.99
23%
40-44.99
14%
45-49.99
9%
50+
9%
This market will resolve in favor of the range that contains the value of The Super Model's "Trump Chaos Index" at 11:59:59 p.m. ET on December 31, 2024.
thesupermodel.com/p/trump-chaos-index
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
If Trump wins, will $DJT (Truth Social) be above $40.00 at EOY 2024?
27% chance
If Trump wins, what will the Democracy Index be for the US at the end of his presidency?
Conditional on Trump getting elected, how will the US democracy index have changed by the end of his term.
If Donald Trump is elected president in 2024, what will the average yearly inflation be between Jan 2025 and Jan 2029?
If Trump won the election, Will the S&P 500 be above 5000 at the end of 2024?
98% chance
๐บ๐ธ If Trump wins, will the US electoral democracy index fall below 0.80 by 2025?
80% chance
Conditional on Trump imposing large tariffs in his first year, will the CPI-U for January 2026 be โฅ332?
48% chance
If Trump wins, what will US bond yields be at the end of 2025?
32% chance
What is the lowest low that Trump will ever hit by the year 2030?
What percent of Trump's Truth Social stock will he still own at the end of 2024?
80% chance