1
Will there be an early Scottish Parliament election in 2023?
Fion avatar
Fion
6
closes Dec 31
20%
chance

Next election is scheduled for 2026. Opposition parties have called for the new First Minister to call an early election.

UK politics

Related markets

SG avatarS G
Will Scotland vote for independence in the 2023 referendum?59%
AndrewG avatarAndrew G
Will Scotland hold an independence referendum on 19 October 2023?3%
a avatararae
Will there be a parliamentary election in the UK before 2024?8%
IanLeslie avatarIan Leslie
Will a general election take place in the UK in 2023?5%
ACXBot avatarACX BotBot
26. Will the UK hold a general election in 2023?5%
NcyRocks avatarN.C. Young
Will the next Scottish independence referendum pass?55%
Fion avatarFion
Will the Scottish National Party get more than 50% of the vote share in Scotland in the next UK general election?10%
footgun avatarfootgun
Will Singapore has a general election to elect members of parliament in 2023?14%
Fion avatarFion
Will the Scottish Labour Party be the second largest party in Holyrood after the next election?62%
Noit avatarNoit
Will a UK General Election be held during Q3 2023?4%
Noit avatarNoit
Will a UK General Election be held during Q2 2023?1%
MetaculusBot avatarMetaculus BotBot
When the next referendum is held on Scotland's Union with the United Kingdom, will Scotland vote to leave?56%
lisamarsh avatarLisa Marsh
Will the Labour Party win at least 20 seats in Scotland at the next general election?52%
lisamarsh avatarLisa Marsh
Will the Labour Party win at least 30 seats in Scotland at the next general election?30%
Noit avatarNoit
Will a UK General Election be held during Q4 2023?6%
Noit avatarNoit
Will a UK General Election be held during Q1 2024?8%
NcyRocks avatarN.C. Young
Will there be a hung parliament following the 2023 NZ election?19%
lisamarsh avatarLisa Marsh
Will the U.K. Conservative Party lead in a national poll in 2023?25%
NathanpmYoung avatarNathan Young
Will the UK have Proportional Representation of the House of Commons by 2030?28%
Noit avatarNoit
Will a UK General Election be held during Q3 2024?31%