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Will General Valerii Zaluzhnyi Lose His Position or Be Demoted by January 31, 2024?
19
Ṁ350Ṁ3.9k
resolved Feb 1
Resolved
NO

This question seeks to predict the professional fate of General Valerii Zaluzhnyi, the current Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Participants are asked to assess the likelihood of General Zaluzhnyi either being demoted from his current rank or losing his position in any capacity before January 31, 2024. This includes any form of official dismissal, resignation, or demotion. The outcome will be determined based on credible reports or official statements from the Ukrainian government or reputable news sources.

Resolution Criteria: The question will resolve to "Yes" if, by January 31, 2024, there are confirmed reports or official announcements indicating that General Valerii Zaluzhnyi has either been demoted in rank or has lost his position as Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. The question will resolve to "No" if no such changes in his position or rank are confirmed by this date.

Recent news:
"A top aide to Ukraine’s armed forces commander was killed Monday when an “unknown explosive device” detonated inside a birthday present, according to Ukrainian officials who suggested the explosion was an accident.

Major Hennadii Chastiakov, a top aide to Ukraine’s commander-in-chief, Gen. Valery Zaluzhny, was killed after he “took out a gift box with grenades inside,” showed one of them to his son, took it back and pulled its ring, “provoking a tragic explosion."


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predictedNO
predictedNO

Resolves no

predictedNO

@SemioticRivalry in 8 hours from now

predictedNO

Do you really mean "before January 31, 2024"? That's just a few hours away in Kyiv time. I'd initially interpreted this market more like "before 12:01 AM on Feb 1" but now I'm realizing you may have meant "before 12:01 AM on Jan 31".

predictedNO

@Jwags it resolves in 8 hours from now (London time)