Who will win the GOP South Carolina primary?
17
Ṁ460Ṁ3.1kresolved Feb 25
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%98%
Donald Trump
2%
Nikki Haley
0.1%
Ron Desantis
0.1%
Vivek Ramaswwamy
The person who wins the GOP South Carolina primary wins this market. This market may stay open for a few days if the vote to close to call.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@GCS The race was called by the AP, NYT and many others.
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/02/24/us/south-carolina-republican-primary
News companies benefit from calling markets early. They'd call a win if they thought it was 99% likely. If this market was open people could still bet on the 1% chance. If the market was closed there would still be no harm waiting until the count was in to resolve.
@GCS This is something I will keep in mind going forward. The flip side of this is is is nice for the winners to get payed so they can reinvest in other markets.
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