This market is about the extinction risk of the Asian Elephant species in the current century, regardless of subspecies. The market will resolve YES if the Asian Elephant is extinct in 2100. It will resolve NO if it is not extinct in 2100.
Wikipedia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Asian_elephant
IUCN assessment
https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/7140/45818198
Please help trading this market and posting news about the species in the comments, in order to get the most accurate assessment of its extinction risk.
Here a first comparison of the extinction risk of 20 species, for which I have set up markets yesterday and today. I have classified them in ten risk classes.
0-9%: Ultra Low Risk
None
10-19%: Low Risk
None
20-29%: Minor Risk
30-39%: Moderate Risk
Bonobo, Black Rhinoceros, Lion
40-49%: Substantial Risk
White Rhinoceros, Asian Elephant, African Savanna Elephant, Western Gorilla, Tiger, Leopard, Jaguar
50-59%: Significant Risk
Indian Rhinoceros, African Forest Elephant, Sumatran Orangutan, Eastern Gorilla, Snow Leopard
60-69%: High Risk
Tapanuli Orangutan, Bornean Orangutan
70-79%: Severe Risk
80-89%: Critical Risk
90-100%: Ultra High Risk
None