Will the Sumatran Rhinoceros (Dicerorhinus sumatrensis) become extinct in the current century?

500Ṁ477

2099

83%

chance

ALL

This market is about the extinction risk of the Sumatran Rhinoceros species in the current century, regardless of subspecies. The market will resolve YES if the Sumatran Rhinoceros is extinct in 2100. It will resolve NO if it is not extinct in 2100.

Wikipedia

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sumatran_rhinoceros

IUCN assessment

https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/6553/18493355

For comparison, the market about the wild extinction risk:

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I have created a second markt about the wild extinction risk of the Sumatran Rhino (see link in description above), to allow for a distinction of the wild population and the whole species.

Biodiversity TraderboughtṀ70YES

According to the International Rhino Foundation there are as few as 34-47 individuals. A few individuals are in a semi-wild breeding program at the Sumatran Rhino Sanctuary

https://rhinos.org/about-rhinos/rhino-species/sumatran-rhino/

Save the Rhino: World Rhino Day 2023: New numbers and challenges

https://www.savetherhino.org/africa/world-rhino-day-2023-new-numbers-and-challenges/

Here a first comparison of the extinction risk of 20 species, for which I have set up markets yesterday and today. I have classified them in ten risk classes.

0-9%: Ultra Low Risk

None

10-19%: Low Risk

None

20-29%: Minor Risk

Chimpanzee

30-39%: Moderate Risk

Bonobo, Black Rhinoceros, Lion

40-49%: Substantial Risk

White Rhinoceros, Asian Elephant, African Savanna Elephant, Western Gorilla, Tiger, Leopard, Jaguar

50-59%: Significant Risk

Indian Rhinoceros, African Forest Elephant, Sumatran Orangutan, Eastern Gorilla, Snow Leopard