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MANIFOLD
Will the Manifold terms and conditions allow bots by EOY 2026?
11
Ṁ200Ṁ2.7k
resolved Jan 5
Resolved
YES

Except as may be the result of standard search engine or Internet browser usage, use, launch, develop, or distribute any automated system, including without limitation, any spider, robot, cheat utility, scraper, or offline reader that accesses the Site, or using or launching any unauthorized script or other software.

That is, will language like the above be removed or modified to clearly allow (or at least not prohibit) bot trading?

  • Update 2025-12-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve YES if the terms and conditions are modified to clearly allow bots (or at least not prohibit them). Currently, bots are allowed and supported in practice, but the existing terms and conditions language prohibits them when reasonably interpreted.

  • Update 2026-01-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve NO until the terms and conditions are fully fixed. Currently, section 3.6 still contains problematic language that prohibits bots. The creator has confirmed that despite recent changes to the terms, the resolution criteria have not yet been met.

  • Update 2026-01-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The phrase "language like the above" in the market description clearly includes section 3.6 of the terms and conditions. The market will resolve YES only when all problematic language prohibiting bots (including section 3.6) is removed or modified.

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bought Ṁ1,443 YES

The ToS have been changed!

GOD DAMMIT i was gonna scoop everyone in this market
this is INSIDER TRADING!!!!

@SG wait why are you awake

@EvanDaniel I got news for you:

https://github.com/manifoldmarkets/manifold/commit/4d9641934afde2cfd292e1744486ba86af3d6c60

I was surprised to see this market show up, when this happened last week.

@Eliza After I looked at the trading history it seems like we have witnessed a classic example of insider tradingdonating mana to fix an issue.

@Eliza hopefully it will be fully fixed soon!

But for now, Claude says it isn't. This matches my analysis -- section 3.6 is bad, some other stuff might be nice to improve.

https://claude.ai/share/57809ce1-4267-44d8-9078-1771675d35bc

@EvanDaniel that is a much higher bar than just modifying the specific paragraph you called out in the description. On this site, "you get what you ask for".

@Eliza not much! And also I called out "language like the above" which I think clearly includes 3.6.

sold Ṁ10 YES

Uh, am I having a parsing malfunction or are the description and title of the market not infact opposite each other?

@JussiVilleHeiskanen hmm. Oh I get it. Bots are allowed in practise but not in theory

@JussiVilleHeiskanen exactly. They're allowed and supported and everyone knows it, but any reasonable reading of the terms and conditions says otherwise.