As per INDEC data for 2025. Recent report can be found here: https://www.indec.gob.ar/ftp/documentos/Principales_indicadores_INDEC.xlsx
Inflation for 2024 was 117.8%. As of the time of this question writing, inflation through May way 13.3%, or 43.5% annualized.
This question may resolve No early if inflation YTD exceeds 40% at any point, AND the following month's inflation is positive. If market prices on this market are not stable, or there are other signs that there is lingering doubt as to whether the final number for the year will be below 40%, I'll wait.
1,000I find the early resolution criteria to be a bit confusing, because it could resolve 'NO' almost immediately.
I am buying YES on the assumption that inflation will continue to decline and will be under 40% at the end of the year.
@LarsOsborne Trying to be the same as the prior one for the early resolution. Basically if we've already busted the 40% mark before the end of the year it seems silly to wait, so I'm trying to have a way to make that work well.