Conditional on Aella getting new cavities, will 10000+ people get Lantern Bioworks' cavity prevention treatment?
20
1.7kṀ45092030
33%
Aella gets new cavities; >= 10000 people get treatment
7%
Aella gets new cavities; < 10000 people get treatment
49%
Aella does not get new cavities; >= 10000 people get treatment
11%
Aella does not get new cavities; < 10000 people get treatment
This is a joint market for the outcome of these two markets:
/jcb/if-lantern-bioworks-successfully-re
/Aella/will-i-get-any-new-cavities-after-a
It resolves according to how the two linked markets resolve.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will I get any new cavities after applying the Lantern Bioworks strain to my teeth by 2026?
24% chance
[M5000 subsidy] Will 10,000+ people receive Lantern Bioworks' cavity prevention treatment by 2030?
83% chance
Aella personally spreads Lantern Bioworks anticavity bacteria to people she knows any time through 2027
24% chance
Will the scientific consensus in 2030 be that Lantern Bioworks' Lumina Probiotic is effective at reducing cavities?
46% chance
Will I get an oral inoculation against cavities through GMO bacteria, via Lantern Bioworks or similar, by end of 2033?
58% chance
Will Lantern Bioworks Lumina treatment be FDA Approved for preventing tooth decay by the end of 2028?
15% chance
Will Lantern Bioworks Lumina treatment be FDA Approved for preventing tooth decay by the end of 2027?
11% chance
Will Lantern Bioworks Lumina treatment be FDA Approved for preventing tooth decay by the end of 2026?
5% chance
Will I get a cure to cavities before 2030?
18% chance
Will a baby get Lantern Bioworks dental microbiome from their parents by end of 2028?
64% chance