Context:

I am a nobody. No experience in politics. No clout. Not even a US citizenship. Nothing.

But I will make sure I do NOT get nominated if I don't have a great chance of getting elected. I will determine what my chance of winning is, using this market.

Resolution criteria:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if I am elected President of the United States in the next presidential election, provided I have been officially nominated as a candidate. If I am nominated and I do not get elected it will resolve to "No". If I do not receive an official nomination, the market will resolve to "N/A."