Will I ever run for president of the USA
Plus
14
Ṁ14522099
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves NO if I die or decide that I don't want to run.
Resolves YES if I run for president (has to be in major, trustworthy news source, I can't just say "I'm running for president lol")
This is not a trick question--I was born in the USA and will be eligible to run once I am 35 years old. I think I want to try running but I'm not sure yet. I won't bet in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@Conflux The news has to mention that I'm running, since literally anyone can just run for president if they want. I only want this to resolve YES if I "seriously" run
Related questions
Related questions
Will I ever be president of the USA
3% chance
Who will be the President of the United States of America at some point in their life?
Will Elon Musk ever be President of the United States during his lifetime?
6% chance
Will AOC Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ever run for president?
60% chance
Will JD Vance ever be president?
59% chance
Will someone I've met be elected President in either 2028 or 2032?
57% chance
Will Gavin Newsom ever become the President of the USA?
22% chance
Will Mark Zuckerberg ever be a candidate for President of the United States?
25% chance
Will LeBron James ever be President Of The US
17% chance
Will Tucker Carlson ever run for president?
32% chance