Shorter term version of /QuantumObserver/will-the-lk99-room-temp-ambient-pre and will r solve similarly unless there are gross irregularities
Preprint here:
https://arxiv.org/abs/2307.12008
Companion paper here with description of synthesis:
Related questions
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Here’s a market conditional on this one. In case that’s of interest to anyone: https://manifold.markets/CKLorentzen/if-it-replicates-in-2023-will-a-rep?r=Q0tMb3JlbnR6ZW4
Apparently it has been replicated by an individual and meissner confirmed. So we keep waiting I guess. I got this off y combinator hacker new site
This is an exact arbitrage of /QuantumObserver/will-the-lk99-room-temp-ambient-pre with a different duration, right? So if it resolves YES or NO, you'll mirror the resolution on your markets?
@Mira yes unless there is some really serious malfeasance I will just reflect @QuantumObserver 's judgment