Will someone coming from each of the 6 major continents of the world attend Manifest 2024?
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18
Ṁ2444
Jan 1
62%
chance

Please post info on it, yourself or others.

It should be someone who literally traveled to manifest from that continent.

Excluding Antarctica

NO if no manifest 2024.

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nobody has spoken up to even mention a name at all. This will NO unless someone claims that it happened.

we don't know the names. but colorednoise clearly claimed it happened. I don't think they are making it up. I'm confused.

I mean, if it happened I'd hope that someone who at least claims to hve met the person or know anything about them would speak up

Right now I have me => Bayesian => colorednoise (person I don't know) => proposed person flying in from Africa, no name, demographics, username, description, sex, anything.

this is a really long chain, not admissible in US courts I believe.

The minimum bar I'd really hope to get is for someone known, with a username, history, etc to say that they personally met someone who told them they flew from africa, and at least be able to describe the person

I'll give it a few more days for someone to clearly and honestly state this, otherwise this will NO and so would the "someone came from all 6 continents" market

Ask on discord, I guess

this is directly claims from colorednoise in the other markets and this one, though

So, is anyone claiming to have flown from Africa to come? Not just "Be African" but to have flown in?

Is anyone claiming to have confirmed this about someone else who attended? If so could you share what you are saying? Id like to know the name of the person, for example, and where they flew from?

It seems very hard to YES this is we don't have anyone to claim this with specifics

I'll point out that "will someone collect the names of an individual from each of the six continents at Manifest" or "will someone flying in from each continent personally vouch that they have on this Manifold market" is not the title of this question, I certainly don't think you can resolve No because I didn't remember the name of the guy who flew in from South Africa. I personally searched for people from each continent myself without worrying about names / how I will provide evidence, because I was thinking about what's the truth in order to bet, not how to prove the truth to ensure a correct resolution.

P.S I feel my above comment comes of as needlessly aggressive, so I'll clarify I don't actually care about the mana, I just feel I'm being accused of lying/being gullible which is frustrating, since again, not clear that it was my job to provide this evidence. This is admittedly still silly so I won't be further interacting with these Manifest markets.

bought Ṁ200 YES

I found the last one, resolves yes. Jade is from South America, I'm from Asia, Rana is from Europe, lots from North America, and multiple people at registration said they checked in from Africa

bought Ṁ20 NO

@colorednoise Australia?

@Bayesian oh sorry, but there are lots

@colorednoise I'm not going to rush either way but it would be nice if we knew at least something about the claimed people who flew here from Africa, oz, South America

The one from Africa is from South Africa. People from Australia: Caltin, Isabella

@ManifestConference joiners please check in your continent. I'll start;: North America

Which six continents?

@Elspeth all but Antarctica

@Ernie Can you list them?

@Elspeth

  1. Asia

  2. Africa

  3. North America

  4. South America

  5. Europe

  6. Australia

predicts NO

@Ernie (it's a fair argument, since many cultures are taught different continents than we are in the US; continents are not as clearly delineated as we assume)

@Stralor They're even taught differently within the US! I attended public school in the US and my geography teacher taught that Eurasia is one continent and therefore there are six total.

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