Will Russia break up through 2025
➕
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21
Ṁ1762
2026
5%
chance

There should be an independent government in at least a region of Russia with at least 5m people which is diplomatically recognized as an independent country by the UN or at least 20 countries which exist as market creation time.

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Does Ukraine count? 0:)

@JohnSmithb9be no, basing this on officially internationally recognized current Russian borders as of market creation.

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