Will Manifold add multiple choice with answers summing to a fixed number other than 1 by Feb 1 2024?
Mini
9
1.9k
resolved Feb 8
Resolved
NO

Currently the answers in a multiple choice question must either sum to 100%, or are totally independent.

But, there are many questions where I'd like to have them either sum to a different number, like this one, where I precommit to award 100% to the first five of many options which go out of business, and want to immediately zero all others.

Right now I run it as unlinked, which is okay, but prices go off kilter and there's constant arbitrage available.

https://manifold.markets/Ernie/san-mateo-restaurant-death-market-w

This market Resolves YES if there's an option on market creation, for multiple choice markets, to configure them as being required to sum to a fixed percent such as 500%, which would restrict and change the way price adjustments would be done and prices maintained. It must be supported in the Manifold interface for regular users (API support alone does not count, admin-only support does not count)

Get Ṁ1,000 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ96
2Ṁ31
3Ṁ19
4Ṁ6
5Ṁ5
Sort by:

@Ernie This looks like a No to me.