Will at least 3 F-35s be lost by the US in 2026
11
1kṀ755
2027
39%
chance

Lost for any reason. Within 2026 calendar year.

Counts

  • Crash

  • Lost

  • Captured

  • Disappeared

  • Stolen by adversary

Does not count

  • Unusable plane due to bugs

  • Repossessed by creditors

  • Unavailable due to conflict with former ally who no longer allows us physical access

  • We still control it but it can't take off due to runway damage or runway unavailability, even intentional

  • Sold or transferred to ally or other

  • Update 2025-01-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Update from creator:

    • Lost is defined by whether the plane is usable after landing.

    • If repairs return the plane to service, it does not count as lost.

    • A clear dividing line should be established, considering repair durations (e.g., repairs should not exceed six months).

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