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MANIFOLD
Will Lockheed Martin deliver more than 120 F-35 aircraft in 2026?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ40
2027
66%
chance

This market resolves YES if the value of measurable f35_annual_deliveries exceeds 120 aircraft on 2027-03-31.

See measurable definition: measurables/samarium/f35_annual_deliveries.measurable.yaml

What is being measured: Total F-35 (all variants, all customers) deliveries by Lockheed Martin in calendar year 2026, as reported in Lockheed's annual report (published ~February 2027), settled March 31 2027.

YES if: F-35 annual deliveries >= 120 aircraft for 2026 NO if: Deliveries are below 120 aircraft

Resolution sources (priority order):

  1. Lockheed Martin 10-K annual report (SEC EDGAR, lmco.com/investors) — delivery tables

  2. Lockheed Martin Q4 earnings press release — annual deliveries summary

  3. Pentagon F-35 Joint Program Office production and delivery report

  4. DoD Selected Acquisition Report (SAR) — F-35 annual data

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