Will any of these markets (the top 20 open binary markets ordered by total traders) resolve before EOM in a way that is NOT what is predicted by the current price?

i.e. a market priced <50% in this image will resolve YES surprisingly!

or a market that is priced >50% in this image will resolve NO surprisingly!

i.e. 2 this is NOT about whether the "predicted result" flips from say 20% to 89%. It's where a market which is <50% fully resolves YES or one which is >50% resolves NO.

There are markets which are not expected to resolve this month, or markets which are one-sided (they can go one way at any point, but not the other way) and you should take that into account.

To write it out, this market is YES if any of these happen before end of Nov 2023, as indicated by the related market actually resolving

• LK-99 DOES replicate

• Biden is NOT the dem nominee

• Biden doesn't win 2024 election

• Tate's sex trafficing case is thrown out or resolves not guilty

• It is resolved that the sudoku puzzle prompt thing isn't real and the market resolves NO

• etc

Generally if the upstream claim is resolved up to two days late, and the resolution is clearly related to actions which completely happened before this market's due date, that will count. But this market needs to be fairly strict in only resolving based on the actual resolution of dependent markets, since I can't adjudicate what or when they "should" have resolved.

If market owners falsely delay or speed up to manipulate this market, we will take countermeasures. Other gross incorrect happenings which would result in a violation of the spirit of this market will also be dealt with in a way designed to reward conceptual correctness of bettors in this market.