Will Aella write a fiction story of at least 5000 words, available online, by mid 2026?
8
200Ṁ2202026
34%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Any genre, but fiction. Fictionalized life history/autobiography counts
Must be published after today
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Aella's twitter be unlocked by July 1st 2025?
41% chance
Will Aella's (X) account be public again by the end of June 2025?
33% chance
In what month will Aella unlock her twitter?
7/16/25
Will Aella be arrested before the end of 2025?
3% chance
Will Aella's twitter be unlocked on November 1st 2025?
88% chance
Will Aella have a child by 2030?
76% chance
Will Aella spend at least 1 month in prison before the end of 2027?
2% chance
Will my novel be published (or be on track to be) by mid-2026?
36% chance
In 2025, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short story to a prompt?
70% chance
Will any best-selling work of fiction be written entirely by an AI by April of 2028?
41% chance