
At least three unusual and unexpected things from this prediction will happen. It's quite subjective but I'll look for 3+ very unusual out of the ordinary events from the list and resolve YES if so. Otherwise NO.
"In October, the government will shut down and it will not start again. China will take advantage of Congress's inability to act to invade Taiwan. North Korea will launch a nuke aimed at Taiwanese and/or Japanese defensive forces in disputed waters, but it will probably not detonate. Covid will mutate into a much deadlier strain. The institutional continuity and territorial integrity of the United States will be heaviily disrupted in some way. Yellowstone will erupt. Actual magic will probably not return, however AI will enable advanced on demand deployment of stage magic and con artistry that will revitalize belief in the supernatural and the utility of trickery in general. Furries and other weirdos will use gene editing to speciate into fantasy races and other metahuman types. Corporate power will take on an outsized role in the overall governance of the United States and then eventually the world, leading to defacto corporate soveignty and mass-scale vertical integration. Urbit will inexplicably become popular for coordinating industrial espionage activity."
People are also trading
"Actual magic will probably not return, however AI will enable advanced on demand deployment of stage magic and con artistry that will revitalize belief in the supernatural and the utility of trickery in general."
Seems currently true?
"Corporate power will take on an outsized role in the overall governance of the United States and then eventually the world, leading to defacto corporate soveignty and mass-scale vertical integration."
Many would argue that this is currently occurring. It is certainly taking on an outsized role! Mass-scale vertical integration seems certainly true, though "defacto corporate soveignty" is a strong statement.
Based on various other wild guesses at probabilities, I land somewhere around 26% for one other event occurring (certainly there is room to disagree there)