Either planned or not. Someone will be shot with a weapon. Gun, laser, railgun, bow, or similar including adhoc would count. Must be intentional. Shooter can be via remote or autonomous ai or alien or accidental. Person being shot must be human. No need for fatality but there does need to be some physical injury.
Either space or another planet (not on earth)
Planes flying above earth don't count unless in zero g
Rockets do count as long as they've launched (not sitting on the surface of Earth) whether or not they have gravity. Space stations count.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Will a human intentionally kill another human in space by 2050?
44% chance
A humanoid robot kills a human by 2030
31% chance
Will there be another spaceflight-related death by 2030?
41% chance
Will there be a fatal space accident before 2030?
52% chance
C-3PO by 2030?
40% chance
Will an astronaut's life be lost during any stage of spaceflight before 2030?
34% chance
Will anyone die in space before 2030?
24% chance
Will there be an orbital laser before 2035?
27% chance