San Francisco gets some kind of congestion zone pricing system by mid 2030
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Plus
5
Ṁ260
2030
48%
chance

ways this can YES:

  • it's already implemented and in effect, for at least a month, with no set plans to remove it. ballot measures to change/remove/delete it are allowed to be happening in the future, as long as the de facto state of the existing plan is happening and hasn't got an end date

  • OR if at claim end there is an an implementation plan approved as much as possible at the time, with a fixed day, date and year for it to go into effect, confirmed prices, and be fully on schedule to actually happen at that date, which also must be within 1 year of close, that can YES too

Otherwise NO

The plan must have a large area (at least 20% of the SF metropolitan area) which uses a monetary price or proxy for it to charge extra for people driving into/in the area. It must be actually happening at least 4 days a week for at least 8 hours (or equivalent in hours/week).

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Would it be sufficient for the bridge tolls to be higher during certain times of the day?

@WilliamGunn no, the description gives an outline of it having to at least be a zone

@Ernie Sure, but where would this be assessed?

@WilliamGunn Just increasing bridge tolls would not effect 101 coming up the peninsula, and there are lots of roads like that. The idea I'm going for is a zone which is monetarily restricted, so half of it can't be open as usual.

@Ernie Ok, so also tolls on 101 & 280 Northbound? Just trying to get a sense of how you think this would be implemented.

@WilliamGunn from the maps of Manhattan it looks like there is also a borderline at 60th Street where every street is monitored for people crossing.

In SF you could do something similar by combining lines of land monitoring with control of the bridges to create a zone.

@Ernie Oh, wow, they literally did just put cameras on every street in the NYC implementation. I somehow thought the solution would have been less dystopian and ugly, but I don't know why. Urban planners have not been shy about their disregard for aesthetics.

@Ernie You might want to specify a certain region, like north of market, east of Van Ness or something. That's where they'd put it, I reckon, and I don't know if that's 20% or what.

@WilliamGunn yeah I mean if they do something we can evaluate how much of the city is covered. 20 % may not be right but that's what people are betting on. If I specify an area myself that makes the claim super unlikely to YES

@WilliamGunn I figured that's why you were asking 😁 yeah. Actually though I think license plate cams are common. My town San Mateo just signed a new deal to have 44 of them, up from 20 or so. They're used to track down people with open warrants and grab them when they're just out shopping or whatever and not expecting it. I like that harm reduction result but yeah it also means they know where we are quite a lot of the time.

That said, with phones, satellites and similar, it seems hard to stem the tide. Not that it's okay, just that resistance would need a good plan to keep any of many failure modes from happening

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