OpenAI Announces that its CEO/Leader will have AI components (Software + human or alone) by mid 2026
OpenAI Announces that its CEO/Leader will have AI components (Software + human or alone) by mid 2026
6
130Ṁ1652026
17%
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by mid 2026 OpenAI announces something like: "we are now led by software X (+ optionally human Y)"
examples of YES
new CEO is a specially tuned version of GPT-8a
new CEO is GPT-X plus John smith with the latter having 1 vote, former 1 vote, and the board a single vote if needed
Basically, any formal announcement that the ceo is not just a single human, but that he is augmented/combined with/assisted by some software, OR some software alone is the main leader.
If there is no main leader, we will find the best fit and treat that as the leader, if possible, with the same rules.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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