Google stays in the top 10 mkr cap companies through mid 2029 if and only if it has a layoff of at least 20%
4
1kṀ152
2029
43%
chance

details:

  • rank means company market cap, e.g. https://companiesmarketcap.com/

  • fired 20% means there exists a time period where T => T2 with a gap <=6 months, and during which he company either shrunk by >=20%, or didn't (due to also hiring people) but where it's reasonable to believe that that many staff did leave for any reason, voluntary of forced or sold/broken up/etc to another company. Fires is shorthand for leaving for any reason excluding death or some kind of catastrphe (that's because changes like that are essentially random, and wouldn't have the supposed beneficial effect of cutting the fat)

  • We will know this by looking at papers like sf gate, la times, wash post.

as of claim creation they are 4th ranked, 2.089T valuation.

Claim judged at end of time period, june 30 2029

This is a new type of claim that tries to be a double conditional, based on a crux. The crux is: google must take dramatic action to cut headcount if it wants to retain top10 standing. So, YES if: it cuts people and retains position, or it doesn't cut and loses.

Claim judged at end of time period, or earlier if google is totally gone as a company. Even if google cuts early, and even if google falls out of the top10 early, the claim will be judged at end. Unless google is destroyed. If broken up, google-ness goes in priority order to: the company with the closest sounding name (if any), the group with the most prior staff

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