Global transition to veganism MegaMarket
Mini
2
40
2030
66%
I can buy non animal derived protein by the pound on Amazon or other online source for less than 20$ by mid 2027
48%
Us president mentions reducing meat, vegetarianism, vegan or similar in a sotu through the early Jan 2030 speech
34%
Animal based beef produced in the US down by 50% in tons, by mid 2029

WIP but rules and claims will be added

Thesis

Chemistry tech will advance so that food will become available which is vegan, healthier, cheaper than what we have now. Almost as a a side effect, large parts of the world will become more vegetarian/vegan even without any conscious desire.

This may cover moral reasoning but primarily will cover tech. Also, it's not absolute so "conversion to veganism" will generally be treated statistically, not as a sacred/sensitive absolute state of purity.

Rules

All currency is in ppp, inflation adjusted Jan 1 2024 USD

In general I want to make interpretation as meaningful and easy as possible, avoiding holes and corners

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I can buy non animal derived protein by the pound on Amazon or other online source for less than 20$ by mid 2027

What's this intended to cover? You can buy pea protein for less than that right now.

@EvanDaniel I used to buy lots of whey for exercise and weightlifting purposes for maybe 10-15$/pound. Guys on YouTube are saying it might get cheaper. So I'm aiming to find out something there.

@Ernie Shouldn't this one resolve Yes already though, since it's for sale as of right now?

@EvanDaniel is that an adequate substitute? Let me look it up later. Possibly so and I'll have to make another option more closely focused on replacing whey directly

@Ernie yeah, I was trying to ask something like "any protein or are there more specifics".