Will half the UK population be vegan before 2030?
15
71
290
2030
4%
chance

Inspired by a $400 bet to the affirmative by Dale Vince on longbets.

I believe the bet is about the adult UK population, so here on manifold we'll go based on that.

Vince's argument:

Veganism is growing rapidly in the UK - Sainsbury's, one of the country's leading supermarkets says 25% of the adult population will live on a plant-based diet by 2025. Pollsters Ipsos Mori believe 38m adults - over 50% of adults will be vegan by 2034. I believe the trend is speeding up, so half of UK adults will be vegan by 1st Jan 2030.

Vince doesn't have a challenger yet, in case anyone is interested.

Get Ṁ600 play money