Covid-19 origin coronavirus caves are physically closed or destroyed by mid 2028
7
130Ṁ1472028
31%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
It's hard to find exact info, but apparently the main suspected cave is in Mojiang County, Yunnan.
If info comes out (satellite, or news reports) that the cave is closed (physically) i.e. killing the bats, or that it's blown up, or the bats were all poisoned, or similar, then YES, otherwise NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will Science retract the paper on Wuhan wet market COVID origins (Worobey et al. 2022) by the end of 2025?
3% chance
Will a new wild sarbecoronavirus be observed with an evolved furin cleavage site before 2030?
30% chance
Will the "unpublished dissertations" potentially relevant to COVID origins be made public by the end of 2025?
25% chance
Will SARS-CoV-2 be eradicated by 2031?
5% chance
Who will support a lab leak theory of Covid's origin, in 2030?
Will SARS-CoV-2 be eradicated by 2100?
53% chance