Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will a new wild sarbecoronavirus be observed with an evolved furin cleavage site before 2030?
4
Ṁ145Ṁ51
2030
30%
chance

Resolves positive if a peer reviewed publication finds a sarbecoronavirus not descended from SARS-Cov-2 with a furin cleavage site which evolved naturally - not through serial passage or in a lab environment.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!