Which states will Biden win the electoral votes of? 100% = Biden wins this states electoral votes. "Biden" generally means "the democratic candidate", details below.

If split then that state resolves proportionally to what he gets. If he is out then we use whatever the Democratic party replacement candidate gets.

Although Washington DC does have EVs that count, it is not a state.

After you're done voting on the states, take your shot at the {metamarkets}. Don't think too much, just have fun. I'll try to resolve them as simply and carefully as possible. Any resolution details needed will be below here.

In general by Biden I mean him or his replacement if he drops out. Same for Trump. This is awkward but it makes betting safer and is somewhat unlikely. I only require the exact person if I say so; otherwise Biden means the democratic nominee and Trump means the republican nominee.

If I say will Biden give a concession speech after losing that is not a conditional. That means both of those things have to happen. And given the above it doesn't have to be Biden himself.

In general by win/loss if not specified I mean winning the EV of states. So "Biden wins more land area" means Biden wins the EVs of states whose land area totals more than other candidates. Split EVs split the area proportionally to state. We will ignore state subdistrict etc. If proportionality doesn't make sense for example the prime number of won states market, I'll convert the won proportion to an integer. If split exactly it won't count at all. For counting states win, we force integer if possible.

This market is about traditionally defined elector wins and not about unfaithful electors. So its result, barring contested state results, should mostly be determinable quickly without waiting for the actual college to perform the ritual.

Proof generally must be found by election day +2 IE November 7 2024.

When I say election day I mean midnight November 5th, Pacific time. Although Hawaii is still open then. But if the election is officially delayed, we will reinterpret references to it based on that new date. This is because the goal of the market is to discuss candidate behavior and results, not limited by actual calendar date but rather by the functional effect, that is, influencing the election.

Regarding dates, generally the options for things happening last from the moment of option creation until the end of election day.

All replies in the comments below by me are merely guidance. The only official rules are the spirit of the market and the title and description. I am not here to trick people or exploit, or argue l, so I'll try to solve things reasonably. Please help me with this; we're all here to have fun.

All claims resolve in California time unless otherwise stated. I also sometimes say pt or pdt when I mean "the time in San Francisco" because I don't know when daylight savings starts or ends exactly.